News - Weekly E Magazine : Markets in un-chartered territory in COMMUNITY CENTER - Previous Week : BSE Sensex closed at 17197.93 Points, while the NSE Nifty closed at 5215.70
Key benchmark indices snapped ...
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08-04-2012 09:44 AM
Weekly E Magazine : Markets in un-chartered territory
Previous Week : BSE Sensex closed at 17197.93 Points, while the NSE Nifty closed at 5215.70 Key benchmark indices snapped its three weeks declining trend and has closed the week with a gain of more then 2% on weekly basis. Nifty started the week on a bullish note on Monday's trade but after the initial spurt at the start of the week, bulls appeared apprehensive as the Nifty traded in a narrow range with high volatility during the rest of the week. RBI on its monetary policy maintained a status quo by keeping the repo rate and CRR unchanged while cutting statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) by 1% to 23%
- The 30 share BSE Sensex closed at 17197.93 up by 358.74 points or 2.10%, while the NSE Nifty closed at 5215.70 up by 115.85 points or 2.30% week on week basis
- Capital Goods, Banking, Healthcare and Power stocks were the major gainers in the index during last week trade
- Glenmark and IPCA Labs reported robust numbers while IDBI Bank posted earnings in line with our estimates but the asset quality deteriorated more sharply than our expectations. GAIL reported numbers which were above street estimates
- RBI kept the repo rate and CRR unchanged as estimated by the Street. However, key surprise came with the 100 bps cut in SLR ratio from 24% to 23%
- India's merchandise exports fell 5.5 per cent to USD 25 billion in June, compared with USD 26.5 billion in the corresponding month last year, as demand in the struggling European economies continued to decline
- Imports recorded a much sharper fall - declining 13.5 per cent to USD 35.4 billion, compared with USD 40.9 billion in June 2011
- Nymex crude closed at $87.13/barrel declining 3.3% on a weekly basis (as on Thursday).
Week Ahead : Market is expected to consolidate between the key pivotal of 5100-5300 Nifty on the weekly chart formed a bullish candle with a shaven bottom suggesting similar open and low for the week. The index after the initial spurt at the start of the week appears apprehensive near the key resistance posed by the bearish gap area placed between 5260 and 5300.
- Pullback attempts in the near term will see increased volatility near the gap area and the overhead trendline resistance area joining the immediate highs which is placed at 5280-5300 level
- On the lower side 5160-5100 levels appears to be strong support being the presence of 200 days EMA and support from short term demand line in daily chart
- The market is expected to consolidate between the key pivotal of 5100- 5300 during the coming week
- In the month of August (till August 2, 2012), FIIs were net buyers to the tune of 582 crore while DIIs were net sellers to the tune of 239 crore
- Key data/events to watch globally would be Initial Jobless Claims, MBA Mortgage applications and Wholesale Inventories
- In India the key event would be IIP numbers. Key results to watch out next week would be SAIL, Oil India, Sun Pharma, Cadila, Apollo Hospitals, Ranbaxy, Tata Power, SBI, HPCL, ONGC, M& M and Bharti Airtel
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