Derivatives - Buy Infosys (INFY) 2400 PE - 25 Oct 2012 Expiry in MARKETS - The strategy is based on repeated historic trend of Infosys. Last 3 quarters, Infosys announced results, below were the stock ...
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Buy Infosys (INFY) 2400 PE - 25 Oct 2012 Expiry

  1. Buy Infosys (INFY) 2400 PE - 25 Oct 2012 Expiry

    The strategy is based on repeated historic trend of Infosys.

    Last 3 quarters, Infosys announced results, below were the stock reactions.

    Jan 2012 Results - Infosys fell from 2800 to 2600
    April 2012 Results - Infosys fell from 2750 to 2400
    July 2012 Results - Infosys fell from 2500 to 2200
    In the last 3 quarters, each time, Infosys fell by 10% after results and future earnings guidance.

    I think the trend will continue and with Rupee going on the rise, Infosys will most likely fall.

    Infosys Q2 results will be announced coming Friday (October 12th). I can bet that Infosys will go down.

    I bought 2 lots of Infosys (INFY) 2400 PE - 25 Oct 2012 Expiry at 55 Rs premium today.

    Hold Period: Till October 15th (Max till Oct 20th).
    Target: Whatever price we get between Oct 15th to Oct 20th
    Max Risk: Incase Infosys does not go down and stays around 2500, Premium can go down around 30 ... 50% loss is the downside risk
    Profit Potential:If Infosys goes down by 10% again this time, it will be around 2250 by Oct 15th and premium should go as high as 200. 300% gains possible.
    I am noting all these down just to maintain my own discipline. Risk is yours when you decide to enter positions.










  2. Booked Profits @ 95 today morning ...

    Cheers!
    Mani

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